How rare is a Special Illustration Rare?
Updated October 23, 2026 · By the PullMeter team
In TCGplayer's cited sample, a Special Illustration Rare (SIR) showed up in 3.15% of Scarlet & Violet packs, about 1 in 32 packs. In 151 it was 3.11% (about 1 in 32).
That's for any SIR. Scarlet & Violet has 10 different SIRs in our data, so if each is equally likely, one specific SIR is about 0.315% per pack (about 1 in 317). In a 36-pack booster box, the chance of at least one SIR of any kind is about 68%, assuming every pack follows the sample rate. Averages aren't guarantees. See the rarity chart and the Scarlet & Violet odds page.